NEW DELHI, July 31 — India is expected to receive above-normal rainfall during the latter half of the monsoon season, covering August and September, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Thursday.
“Most parts of the country, except the northeast and adjoining areas of east India, are likely to receive normal rainfall in August,” said IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra during an online press briefing. “September rainfall is likely to be above normal,” he added.
According to the IMD’s updated forecast, normal to above-normal rainfall is expected over a large swathe of the country. However, many parts of the northeast, adjoining areas of east India, some isolated regions in central India, and the southwestern peninsular belt may witness below-normal precipitation.
The monsoon so far has remained active. India recorded above-normal rainfall in June and July, with intense weather events including flash floods in states like Himachal Pradesh.
The IMD said the rainfall outlook is based on current oceanic and atmospheric conditions, including the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) pattern and the Indian Ocean Dipole, both of which influence monsoon performance.
Weather experts noted that continued surplus rains could impact both agriculture and flood risk, urging authorities to remain vigilant, especially in vulnerable regions.